Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.687423 7.785023 8.970700 10.342411 11.881144 13.549468 15.490471
2026-02-01 4.975339 6.385746 8.028495 10.066671 12.509906 15.326372 18.799152
2026-02-08 3.941221 5.466212 7.350023 9.814807 12.918072 16.657168 21.460484
2026-02-15 3.181644 4.728978 6.741952 9.498928 13.116624 17.637862 23.642696
2026-02-22 2.743446 4.331935 6.492854 9.569179 13.747086 19.126984 26.466952
2026-03-01 2.383655 3.984303 6.254149 9.601877 14.291255 20.492336 29.154746
2026-03-08 2.101922 3.706792 6.072393 9.676265 14.867560 21.897083 31.923696
2026-03-15 1.849210 3.436590 5.865648 9.682290 15.326606 23.140070 34.501210
2026-03-22 1.695754 3.302269 5.843246 9.944661 16.149061 24.900945 37.835166
2026-03-29 1.549341 3.159238 5.788970 10.145062 16.878408 26.546567 41.054262
2026-04-05 1.391706 2.975424 5.648782 10.194155 17.372669 27.862355 43.839697
2026-04-12 1.192858 2.690084 5.311743 9.899026 17.315174 28.359070 45.451873
2026-04-19 1.028602 2.448522 5.027755 9.670648 17.350192 28.997692 47.304016
2026-04-26 0.881580 2.218759 4.740205 9.410274 17.312116 29.514809 48.984153
2026-05-03 0.757619 2.016502 4.480045 9.171976 17.287251 30.038334 50.676222
2026-05-10 0.643254 1.815731 4.200235 8.873176 17.137448 30.350130 52.042707
2026-05-17 0.583355 1.727489 4.127710 8.939620 17.600251 31.636030 54.937298
2026-05-24 0.526381 1.636884 4.040725 8.970549 17.998803 32.827133 57.712979
2026-05-31 0.479115 1.562199 3.978227 9.040913 18.465153 34.138324 60.709072
2026-06-07 0.431271 1.477871 3.886516 9.046613 18.813313 35.262574 63.434201
2026-06-14 0.407109 1.452244 3.918318 9.294839 19.605156 37.142402 67.416195
2026-06-21 0.380444 1.415381 3.921447 9.484480 20.295925 38.871112 71.194786
2026-06-28 0.346338 1.351373 3.856799 9.530943 20.722161 40.162997 74.291021